There
has been much debate on whether Stock trading is intrinsically
gambling or not. On the surface, both of them share certain common
features as both involve the attributes of
risk and choice.
Ideally,
when people refer to the adage- ‘Stock investment is just like
gambling in a casino’, people are referring to those involved in
the ordeals as Professional traders and recreational gamblers.
Furthermore, while there are certain games in which the results don’t
just boil down to complete luck, we’re going to focus on Long-term
stock investing which has a pay-off period of a minimum of 4 months
(as compared to day-trading) versus Blackjack or roulette. This
taxonomy has to be kept in mind as we examine these two activities
more closely and see if we can point out some of the key
differences.
The
main reason that stock market investing isn't gambling is that you
have much better odds of success with the stock market. When you go
to the casino the odds work against you, while you can certainly win
in the short term if you gamble long enough you will lose.
This is
because the house has the advantage of roughly 1.5% in the long term.
In cases like Poker, you might strive towards increasing your odds to
your favor against your competitors; the house makes sure that
they’re in an advantage at the end of the day.
The
stock market on the other hand works in completely the opposite way.
Over time the stock market will increase therefore the odds are
actually working in your favor. That means that while you may lose
money in the short term if you stay in it for long enough you should
make money. If you are a short term active trader, be sure to check
out a listing of Best Brokers for Active Day Trading
- Stochastic interplay
The
other big reason that the stock market isn't gambling is that the
results are not random. When you are gambling the results mostly come
down to pure chance, the roulette wheel lands on your number or it
doesn't. The odds are the same regardless of which number you pick.
With the stock market on the other hand well run profitable companies
will be rewarded by seeing their stock value increase while poorly
run companies will see their value decline.
Stock
and company information is readily available for public use. Company
earnings, financial ratios and management teams can be studied before
committing capital (fundamental analysis). Some stock traders study
trading patterns by interpreting stock charts and try to leverage the
charts to glean where the stock is going in the future (technical
analysis). This means that the odds are not random; you can be
successful by choosing the best companies.
- Long haul and short-run
Another
difference between the stock market and gambling is that there is no
end of the game with the stock market. When you play blackjack for
example if you lose that hand the money is gone, that hand is over.
However with the stock market if the value of the stock that you buy
declines you still own the stock. If your stock drops 20% below its
purchase price, you have the opportunity to sell that stock to
someone else and still retain 80% of your risk capital.
This
means that if the price goes back up you will regain the money that
you lost. This is an important and often overlooked difference. Being
able to stay in the game is critical to winning. The following points
help to summarize the importance of time frame:
- Trading activity is ongoing and done as part of a long-term plan whereas gambling is a discrete event or series of discrete events not done as part of a long-term plan.
- Being able to stay in the game is critical to winning.
- Some companies actually pay you money in the form of dividends to go along with an ownership stake.
- The Ethical choice
Any
investor would tend to put money in the hands of those with the most
promising and productive uses for it, and drives the economy
gradually upward. They aren't merely betting on which companies will
succeed, they're providing the capital those companies need to
accomplish their goals, however small that may be. The U.S.'s
leadership position in technology is largely due to investments by
venture capital firms and angel investors. Similarly, you can change
the world in a small way by investing in companies you believe in,
such as socially or environmentally conscious firms and mutual funds,
or biotech companies that are working on diseases that might affect
you or someone close to you. To read more about social responsibility
for investors, please refer to Social Responsibility of Investors
- Note: I should emphasize and add that not all types of investing are productive. Buying and holding results in a positive contribution to the economy, but buying and selling quickly, the way day trading is done, results in no net contribution.
- Risk averse v/s risk seeking
Risk
is the prime feature which makes both of these activities extremely
lucrative for amateurs. However, once you step into the game, you
begin to realize that gambling is about action and the lure of the
big win, and thus it is definitely risk seeking. Now this is in stark
contrast with stock investing as an investor would more often than
not, be risk averse in his strategy. Some traders typically risk 2-5%
of their capital base on any particular trade. Longer-term investors
constantly hear the virtues of diversification across different asset
classes. This, in essence, is a risk management strategy, and
spreading your dollars across different investments will likely help
minimize potential losses. As a stock trader you will also have to
continuously keep trying to reduce your costs. For the listing of low
fee brokers, please look at Low
Cost Stock Brokerages
The
following example will help understand the key difference once it for
all:
Would
you rather have $50 or a 50/50 chance at $100? If you take the $50,
you're an investor. If you go for all or nothing, you're a gambler.
Would you rather put your money under your mattress or in an
extremely volatile stock that could go bankrupt or could double in
value? If you expect to double your money quickly, whatever you're
doing is probably gambling, even if it happens on Wall Street rather
than in Las Vegas.
Conclusion:
As we
try and conclude the key differences between both, it helps to
recognize that it is the attitude of a trader or a gambler that can
make all the difference to how his game is perceived by others.
The
next time you hear someone say that stock investing is the same as
playing in a casino, remind them that in fact there are some
similarities and some major differences; both activities involve risk
of capital with hopes of future profit. Gambling is typically a
short-lived and thus an addictive activity, while stock investing can
last a lifetime. A conscious investor will always strive towards
minimizing and distributing the risks, while choosing to invest on
the companies which turn the odds into his favor than others who do
not.
In
general, most average investors will do better investing in stocks
over a lifetime than trying to win the World Series of Poker.
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